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Confidence Change We calculated ΔBelief=LikelihoodR3−LikelihoodR1\Delta\text{Belief}=\text{Likelihood}_{R3}-\text{Likelihood}_{R1} to measure change in confidence from the first to third round. A total of 512 participants (91.9%) provided a final likelihood rating and were included in confidence change analyses.333The completion rates differed significantly by condition, χ2(4)=17.02\chi^{2}(4)=17.02, p=.002p=.002. The Random Sequence condition had the highest attrition (16.1% missing likelihood), while Rule Confirming had the lowest (1.8%).，更多细节参见雷电模拟器官方版本下载
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年末主要农村金融机构（农村信用社、农村合作银行、农村商业银行）人民币贷款余额33.1万亿元，比年初增加1.6万亿元。全部金融机构人民币消费贷款余额58.2万亿元，减少0.5万亿元。其中，住户短期消费贷款余额9.5万亿元，减少0.7万亿元；住户中长期消费贷款余额48.7万亿元，增加0.2万亿元。